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Prediction markets for Relative Strength

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.02%chance

6610074

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1756

299

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Jan 4, 12:18 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

82131

OptionProbability

Feb 2026

Jan 2026

Mar 2026

Apr 2026

May 2026

Dec 2026 or later/never

Jun 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Nov 2026

Oct 2026

16

13

10

10

9

8

6

6

6

6

6

5

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

837

Doom if AGI by 2040?

Apr 18, 1:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45%chance

91239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

99

42

Will Japan win the 2026 World Cup?

Feb 1, 5:12 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

1.2%chance

81215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

55

Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.45%chance

6306

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

39

Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026

Feb 18, 8:46 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.09%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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