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Prediction markets for Relative Strength

When will I do my first clean pull-up?

Jan 4, 12:18 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

1758396

OptionProbability

Dec 2026 or later/never

Oct 2026

Nov 2026

Jun 2026

Jul 2026

Aug 2026

Sep 2026

Jan 2026

Feb 2026

Mar 2026

Apr 2026

May 2026

83

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.88%chance

7512771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1301

555

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

837

Doom if AGI by 2040?

Apr 18, 1:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

91270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

89

58

Will this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?

Jul 15, 5:22 AMJun 1, 11:59 PM

54.49%chance

28953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

121

Will India and Bangladesh go to war by EOY 2026?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.89%chance

16820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

579

17

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2400?

Sep 21, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

57.19%chance

6101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

26

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