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Prediction markets for Relay
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
91.11%chance
33095892
OptionVotes
19375
4265
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
59%chance
8615099
OptionVotes
1200
834
OptionVotes
398
25
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?
Jan 2, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
94.53%chance
201303
OptionVotes
416
24
Will China be stripped of at least three swimming medals from the Tokyo Olympics?
Apr 20, 10:16 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM
17.82%chance
181077
OptionVotes
474
98
Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?
Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
32%chance
13938
OptionVotes
176
169
OptionVotes
413
24
OptionVotes
1314
942
Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030
Oct 1, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.58%chance
8296
OptionVotes
374
134
OptionVotes
123
82
Will "The consequences of locking intelligence away..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jul 1, 7:25 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.86%chance
110
OptionVotes
1010
998
Does an anonymous email relay exist to connect User A and User B with anonymized emails and names similar to craigslist?
Jul 13, 11:22 PMJul 14, 6:59 AM
00