OptionProbability
In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025
Uncrewed lunar landing in Q1, Q2, or Q3 2027
Long-duration flight test in Q3 or Q4 2026
Crewed lunar landing in Q3 or Q4 2028
Starship second stage landing on land in Q2, Q3, or Q4 2025
In-orbit propellant transfer demo in Q3 or Q4 2025
Re-flight of a Super Heavy first stage in Q1 or Q2 2026
100
38
29
20
0
