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Prediction markets for Rema
Will Maduro remain president of Venezuela through 2026?
Dec 30, 7:25 PMDec 31, 1:45 PM
2.32%chance
9962646
OptionVotes
6496
154
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM
45%chance
13338759
OptionVotes
1804
433
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
Aug 7, 11:51 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM
39%chance
17526256
OptionVotes
1581
400
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM
40%chance
13022398
OptionVotes
1108
1091
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.5%chance
629087
OptionVotes
1010
759
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
Dec 11, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
81.52%chance
517087
OptionVotes
1478
812
OptionVotes
1259
735
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
58.63%chance
194930
OptionVotes
1191
840
OptionVotes
2060
771
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in power at the end of his term?
Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
67.33%chance
383613
OptionVotes
1414
709
Is there a major headline discovery that still remains hidden in the world's oceans?
Apr 7, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
88.78%chance
813413
OptionVotes
2609
1178
OptionVotes
2046
535