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Prediction markets for Rema
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31st, 2025?
Apr 5, 7:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
85.89%chance
334244272
OptionVotes
2482
310
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?
Jan 22, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
95.83%chance
5136349
OptionVotes
40870
1162
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Oct 19, 8:49 PMOct 27, 6:59 AM
62.12%chance
12334209
OptionVotes
1541
741
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM
46.99%chance
12219688
OptionVotes
1240
919
♻️ 🧟 Will composting of human remains be available in Delaware by 2025?
Apr 7, 2:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
57.53%chance
2012694
OptionVotes
3230
662
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Oct 6, 7:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51.14%chance
599061
OptionVotes
1032
735
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
Aug 7, 11:51 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM
31.91%chance
618696
OptionVotes
1726
320
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
Jun 25, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
74%chance
437735
OptionVotes
1687
593
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
Dec 11, 4:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
73.85%chance
496687
OptionVotes
1078
924
OptionVotes
1103
862
[Metaculus] Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
Jul 8, 2:52 PMJan 2, 7:00 PM
49.05%chance
184722
OptionVotes
1019
981
Will Manifold think Trump made a serious attempt to remain in charge at the end of his term?
Jan 26, 7:04 PMFeb 2, 4:59 AM
56.9%chance
312850
OptionVotes
1128
883