Remote Control News

Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Apr 25, 8:31 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

24770262

OptionVotes

YES

1939

722

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19745815

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Jan 19, 5:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

9.7%chance

11122065

OptionVotes

YES

3665

1447

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80.29%chance

553593

OptionVotes

YES

1197

932

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Mar 24, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.3%chance

132181

OptionVotes

YES

2332

878

Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?

Apr 22, 7:20 PMDec 31, 8:08 PM

21.57%chance

121502

OptionVotes

YES

1907

524

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

31.32%chance

351387

OptionVotes

YES

1371

650

Paraplegic Does a Backflip by 2035

Mar 26, 6:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.65%chance

251011

OptionVotes

YES

1298

751

Where will the ISS be on 5 November 2033?

Nov 4, 8:50 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM

12999

OptionProbability

Broken up - some modules re-used, mostly de-orbited

At the bottom of the Pacific Ocean - fully de-orbited

Still in use - lifetime extended. Most of the current modules still in use.

Mostly intact but no crew - remotely maintained in low earth orbit

Other

Moved to a graveyard orbit for preservation

Mostly intact but abandoned due to multiple systems failures, unable to be controlled remotely, probably tumbling.

It will be a large debris field (broken up by collision, orbital stress, accident, etc)

Orbiting the Moon

Will humanoid robots be deployed to combat before 2035?

Feb 3, 11:14 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.8%chance

30731

OptionVotes

YES

1123

879

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17297

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla

Figure

Unitree

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Xiaomi

Mentee

Open AI

Galbot

Boston Dynamics

Samsung

Amazon

Agility Robotics/Agile Robots

Honda

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

Apr 28, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.26%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

120

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Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Will the creators of "South Park" both be killed by AI before "South Park" is officially cancelled?

Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028?

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Paraplegic Does a Backflip by 2035

Where will the ISS be on 5 November 2033?

Will humanoid robots be deployed to combat before 2035?

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Will the US require hardware security features on cutting-edge chips by 2028?

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