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Prediction markets for Republican Donald Trump

Will Donald Trump have been the Republican nominee in every presidential election from 2016 until his death?

May 24, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 AM

17.93%chance

28335397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3233

2133

Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2028 US presidential election?

Mar 11, 4:59 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

2.4%chance

5514269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4876

757

Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Jan 15, 10:21 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2.38%chance

3213971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

968

146

Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee in 2028?

Jul 7, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

7.48%chance

296837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1491

923

Will Donald Trump be the Republican party nominee in the 2032 US presidential election?

May 19, 11:32 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

2.01%chance

365649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2718

909

Who will be the next Republican Nominee who is not Donald Trump, in 2024 or beyond?

Feb 16, 3:00 AMNov 12, 7:59 AM

462454

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Tucker Carlson

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Ted Cruz

Nikki Haley

Vivek Ramaswamy

Glenn Youngkin

Tim Scott

Kristi Noem

Elise Stefanik

Mike Pence

Ben Carson

Greg Abbott

47

43

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:34 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

55.34%chance

281117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1129

857

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 30% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.55%chance

14851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

936

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 50% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.82%chance

11429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

894

What will be Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans at the time of his death? [resolves to percentage]

Feb 8, 7:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.39%chance

13175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

982

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 40% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:38 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.71%chance

4113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

48

Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 60% before his death?

Feb 7, 1:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.86%chance

790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

995

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