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Republican National Convention News

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

718926898

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump, Sr

Tucker Carlson

None

Nikki Haley

Ted Cruz

Vivek Ramaswamy

Glenn Youngkin

Mike Johnson

Nick Fuentes

Greg Abbott

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Kristi Noem

Matt Gaetz

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Brian Kemp

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

Ivanka Trump

@Mira

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

55

13

12

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2028 Republican nominee?

Sep 14, 5:38 AMSep 6, 6:59 AM

399225881

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Donald Trump Jr

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Sr.

Ron Desantis

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Vivek Ramaswamy

Greg Abbott

Tulsi Gabbard

Ted Cruz

Nick Fuentes

Paul Ryan

54

13

13

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

16273511

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

27

26

15

4

4

4

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?

Oct 31, 4:37 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

5114039

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Donald Trump Jr.

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump

Erika Kirk

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Ron DeSantis

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Ted Cruz

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tulsi Gabbard

Josh Hawley

Spencer Cox

Steve Bannon

Mike Lee

Pete Hegseth

Stephen Miller

Kristi Noem

Tim Scott

Brian Kemp

55

12

7

5

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?

Nov 3, 5:50 PMNov 11, 1:00 AM

337885

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Donald Trump

54

44

2

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

Will there be a competitive Democratic primary in 2028?

Jul 22, 9:51 PMOct 2, 4:59 AM

80.97%chance

122439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

485

Will there be a competitive Republican primary in 2028?

Jul 22, 9:56 PMOct 2, 4:59 AM

59.03%chance

9425

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

833

Woman on both major parties' 2028 presidential tickets?

Apr 7, 9:34 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

15%chance

8333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?

Mar 7, 5:55 AMApr 1, 4:59 AM

53.55%chance

8278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

953

When will a woman win the Republican Primaries?

Feb 10, 9:21 PMDec 18, 1:59 PM

7164

OptionProbability

Other

2036

2032

2040

2028

68

11

7

7

6

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