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Republican National Convention News

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?

Aug 20, 12:02 AMFeb 20, 4:59 AM

751967633

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Ron Desantis

Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump, Sr

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Brian Kemp

Ivanka Trump

None

Greg Abbott

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Tim Scott

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Mike Johnson

Matt Gaetz

Lauren Boebert

Tom Cotton

Elon Musk

Kari Lake

Sarah Sanders

Chris Sununu

Josh Hawley

Steven Mnuchin

Elise Stefanik

Ben Carson

Jamie Dimon

@Mira

Nick Fuentes

Doug Burgum

Paul Ryan

Tulsi Gabbard

41

27

12

4

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2028 Republican nominee?

Sep 14, 5:38 AMSep 6, 6:59 AM

431264498

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr

Donald Trump Sr.

Ron Desantis

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Vivek Ramaswamy

Greg Abbott

Tulsi Gabbard

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Ted Cruz

Nick Fuentes

Paul Ryan

42

27

13

4

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

17175989

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

39

20

12

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?

Oct 31, 4:37 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

5518225

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Thomas Massie

Donald Trump

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Erika Kirk

Nikki Haley

Glenn Youngkin

Tulsi Gabbard

Josh Hawley

Spencer Cox

Steve Bannon

Mike Lee

Pete Hegseth

Stephen Miller

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Ted Cruz

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kristi Noem

Tim Scott

Brian Kemp

41

26

9

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will the 2028 Republican nominee for President be a member of the Trump family?

Apr 12, 8:40 AMSep 30, 1:59 PM

9.51%chance

716878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5309

877

Will there be a competitive Democratic primary in 2028?

Jul 22, 9:51 PMOct 2, 4:59 AM

80.97%chance

122439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

485

Will there be a competitive Republican primary in 2028?

Jul 22, 9:56 PMOct 2, 4:59 AM

59.03%chance

9425

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

833

Woman on both major parties' 2028 presidential tickets?

Apr 7, 9:34 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

15%chance

8333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will Pam Bondi be Attorney General of the United States on 12/31/26?

Mar 10, 7:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.54%chance

8305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

51

Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?

Mar 7, 5:55 AMApr 1, 4:59 AM

53.55%chance

8278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

953

When will a woman win the Republican Primaries?

Feb 10, 9:21 PMDec 18, 1:59 PM

7164

OptionProbability

Other

2036

2032

2040

2028

68

11

7

7

6

Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2032?

Feb 12, 5:54 AMJul 15, 11:59 PM

426

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance

Marco Rubio

Tulsi Gabbard

51

20

15

15

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