Residential News

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

Apr 27, 7:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.93%chance

658577178

OptionVotes

YES

16062

8657

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Jan 19, 5:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.02%chance

11121965

OptionVotes

YES

3565

1458

What kind of settlement will the first large human space colony be? (Population>1000)

Jan 12, 7:02 PMJan 19, 10:59 PM

532929

OptionProbability

Research

Combination (no majority)

Mining

Military

The Rich

Manufacturing

Embassy for established alien contact

Other

A gulag for commies that get purged by other commies

Leisure

Residential

Gambling

Will there be widespread heating outages in Moscow this winter?

Oct 4, 12:25 AMMar 21, 12:59 AM

12.28%chance

112897

OptionVotes

YES

2673

374

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (1% limit)

Jul 31, 5:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.21%chance

14504

OptionVotes

YES

789

544

What will Trump's 'aggressive housing reform' contain? (ADD YOURS)

Dec 18, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4485

OptionProbability

Restricting federal housing assistance based on immigration status

Streamlined NEPA reviews for housing development

Requiring citizenship verification for housing programs

Eliminating fair housing enforcement programs

New tax incentives for homebuilders

Expanded first-time homebuyer tax credits

Ending Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac conservatorship

Higher interest rates or fees for non-citizen borrowers

Privatizing Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac

Tariff exemptions for housing construction materials

Prohibiting non-citizens from purchasing residential property

Federal preemption of local zoning laws

Mortgage rate subsidies or buydowns

Capped mortgage rate

Will the Massachusetts rent control ballot measure pass?

Dec 18, 3:08 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

48.91%chance

4475

OptionVotes

YES

1022

978

Tehran Water Crisis Prop Bets

Nov 30, 4:46 PMMar 31, 2:50 PM

6235

OptionProbability

Will Tehran record less than 50mm of total rainfall from December 1st 2025 to March 31st 2026?

Will the Iranian government officially announce daytime residential water rationing?

Will the government announce plans to reduce agricultural water allocation?

Will the government issue a mandatory evacuation order for any district of Tehran?

Will the Iranian Parliament pass a bill to formally move the capital city from Tehran?

Will the Iranian government import water (or sign an agreement to) from other countries to supply over 50% of Tehran?

Will the government significantly raise residential water prices?

Will the president or Supreme Leader publicly admit governmental mismanagement caused the crisis?

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

Feb 15, 5:39 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3111

OptionProbability

Above 3000 US$

Below 2000 US$

Below 1000 US$

Above 4000 US$

Above 5000 US$

Above 7500 US$

Above 10 000 US$

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Dec 7, 4:21 PMApr 15, 6:59 AM

5104

OptionProbability

2028-2030

Beyond 2030 (or never)

2025-2027

Before the end of 2024

Will US residential real estate be disintermediated by end of 2030?

Mar 25, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.62%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

133

How much will 1 kwh/year of residential solar cost in US cents in 2033

May 15, 6:29 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

71.91%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

280

231

Residential News

Prediction markets for Residential

Prediction markets for Residential

Prediction markets for Residential

Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

What kind of settlement will the first large human space colony be? (Population>1000)

Will there be widespread heating outages in Moscow this winter?

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (1% limit)

What will Trump's 'aggressive housing reform' contain? (ADD YOURS)

Will the Massachusetts rent control ballot measure pass?

Tehran Water Crisis Prop Bets

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

☀️ 🏡 When will the US meet the goal of 5¢/kWh for residential photovoltaics?

Will US residential real estate be disintermediated by end of 2030?

How much will 1 kwh/year of residential solar cost in US cents in 2033

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