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Prediction markets for Resy

State Farm announces it is leaving the California residential insurance market, announcement before December 31, 2025

Feb 15, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.02%chance

38205065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236954

20579

By 2027 there will be a robot capable of performing every task a residential electrician can do

Jan 19, 5:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.02%chance

11121965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3565

1458

Will Kamala Harris resign in her first term?

Sep 19, 8:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.37%chance

256100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4678

214

Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?

Jun 24, 10:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.88%chance

272933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1367

732

Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027?

Jul 27, 7:24 PMJan 5, 4:59 AM

33.11%chance

362547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1569

352

Will a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?

Aug 9, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.63%chance

412228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1281

881

Will the Information Commissioner of Canada Resign in 2025?

Jul 18, 7:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.85%chance

91839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1837

544

U.S. implements residence-based taxation for Americans abroad by 2028

Feb 17, 2:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

24.09%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1833

611

Adm. Frank "Mitch" Bradley resigns by end of 2025?

Dec 2, 5:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.44%chance

5859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1859

538

Will there be a reliable technology to sign videos such that it reliably resists AI fakes?

Feb 15, 12:08 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

28.97%chance

13657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

859

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

56.39%chance

4505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

879

Will my spouse match Urology in the 2026 Residency match?

Oct 6, 3:50 PMFeb 9, 7:59 AM

64.73%chance

5112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

972

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