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Return On Investment News

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.23%chance

4724076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

8213590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5293

2022

Will Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029?

Aug 1, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.53%chance

264180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2097

477

Which investment will give the best return 1 year after Jan 1st 2026?

Nov 16, 7:53 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

171739

OptionProbability

ASML stock

SFTBY Softbank

TSMC stock

ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF

ProShares Short QQQ

United Healthcare UNH

Other

Facebook stock META

Bitcoin BTC

Ethereum ETH

Gold

Google/Alphabet stock

Apple stock AAPL

Nvidia stock NVDA

Tesla stock TSLA

Reddit stock RDDT

Microsoft stock MSFT

XRP Ripple

Amazon stock AMZN

Dogecoin DOGE

Gamestop stock GME

Domino Pizza DPZ

39

28

7

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131706

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

33

7

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

What will Daniel Lord’s debt be on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 23, 5:33 AMAug 24, 3:59 AM

141689

OptionProbability

10,000 - 19,999

5,000 - 9,999

20,000 - 29,999

30,000 - 39,999

40,000 - 50,000

0 - 4,999

Above 50,000

24

20

13

12

12

11

8

When will Praxis announce that it is ending operations and returning all remaining funds to investors?

Dec 12, 6:23 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

101023

OptionProbability

After June 30th 2028

After Jan 1 2027 but before June 30th 2028

After Jan 1 2026 but before Jan 1 2027

Before Jan 1 2026

77

11

8

4

Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?

Jul 30, 5:35 PMSep 1, 11:00 PM

53.26%chance

181014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

937

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.04%chance

12728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1258

854

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will https://www.generalproximity.bio/ generate positive return for its investors?

Jul 3, 7:42 PMJul 3, 7:42 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Equator Therapeutics (equatortherapeutics.com) generate positive return for its investors?

Jul 3, 7:41 PMDec 31, 8:41 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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