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Prediction markets for Return On Investment

MIRACLE Stock

Apr 5, 4:40 PMApr 6, 2:59 AM

12000

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.04%chance

12728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1258

854

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

When will Praxis announce that it is ending operations and returning all remaining funds to investors?

Dec 12, 6:23 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

9373

OptionProbability

After June 30th 2028

Before Jan 1 2026

After Jan 1 2026 but before Jan 1 2027

After Jan 1 2027 but before June 30th 2028

48

26

18

8

When will Trump abolish U.S. expat taxes on overseas income?

Mar 8, 7:05 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

6316

OptionProbability

Other

2025

2027

2028

2026

2024

46

12

12

12

10

9

Which multistrategy hedge fund (pod shop) will blow up by 2027 year end?

Oct 9, 12:53 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

490

OptionProbability

Other

Millennium

Citadel

Point72

Balyasny

None

53

10

10

10

10

8

Will Substack's Community WeFunder Round Live Up To Its Valuation?

Apr 19, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.73%chance

667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

113

Will there be a liquidity event for WeFunder investors before March 2026?

Sep 17, 5:46 PMMar 12, 3:59 AM

52.75%chance

417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

127

🤑💰🪙💵💸Manifold's first completely legal PONZUSSY SCHEME! (Break even INSTANTLY, 0 risk) Get rich with rationalussy!!

Aug 11, 3:49 PMAug 12, 4:59 AM

00

By what date will FTSE All-World ex-US Index (~VEU) have outperformed US Total Market (~VTI) for a period of 5+ years?

Nov 20, 6:36 PM

20

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