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Return On Investment News

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.51%chance

5226655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1624

616

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.15%chance

8314198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6271

1868

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1510936

OptionProbability

None

(0, 200]

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

61

23

8

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029?

Aug 1, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.53%chance

264180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2097

477

Which investment will give the best return 1 year after Jan 1st 2026?

Nov 16, 7:53 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

182204

OptionProbability

ASML stock

Apple stock AAPL

ProShares Short QQQ

TSMC stock

Gamestop stock GME

ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF

United Healthcare UNH

SFTBY Softbank

Gold

Google/Alphabet stock

Nvidia stock NVDA

Microsoft stock MSFT

Domino Pizza DPZ

Other

Facebook stock META

Bitcoin BTC

Ethereum ETH

Tesla stock TSLA

Reddit stock RDDT

XRP Ripple

Amazon stock AMZN

Dogecoin DOGE

26

11

9

8

8

8

5

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

What will Daniel Lord’s debt be on January 1st, 2027?

Aug 23, 5:33 AMAug 24, 3:59 AM

141689

OptionProbability

10,000 - 19,999

5,000 - 9,999

20,000 - 29,999

30,000 - 39,999

40,000 - 50,000

0 - 4,999

Above 50,000

24

20

13

12

12

11

8

When will Praxis announce that it is ending operations and returning all remaining funds to investors?

Dec 12, 6:23 PMDec 19, 11:59 PM

101023

OptionProbability

After June 30th 2028

After Jan 1 2027 but before June 30th 2028

After Jan 1 2026 but before Jan 1 2027

Before Jan 1 2026

77

11

8

4

Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?

Jul 30, 5:35 PMSep 1, 11:00 PM

53.26%chance

181014

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

937

What percentage of FTX Future Fund grant funds will ultimately be returned/clawed back?

Feb 9, 2:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.04%chance

12728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1258

854

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will https://www.generalproximity.bio/ generate positive return for its investors?

Jul 3, 7:42 PMJul 3, 7:42 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Equator Therapeutics (equatortherapeutics.com) generate positive return for its investors?

Jul 3, 7:41 PMDec 31, 8:41 PM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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