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Prediction markets for Reuters World News

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

38.59%chance

81189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

793

Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.

Feb 24, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.36%chance

18447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

226

44

will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

Mar 1, 7:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.05%chance

17430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?

Apr 21, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.75%chance

12360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

46

Will Iran's food stockpile run out before Aug 2, 2026?

May 2, 1:12 AMAug 2, 1:12 AM

10.4%chance

9270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

294

34

How will the next World War begin?

Oct 14, 12:46 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8131

OptionProbability

Conflict in Asia

Conflict in Europe

Conflict in Africa

Conflict in America

Conflict in Antarctica

76

54

50

43

20

Will the next nuclear bomb end a worldwide conflict, or be the beginning of one?

Apr 8, 2:01 AMDec 31, 1:59 AM

43%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will bitcoin rise to 85k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?

May 5, 7:26 AMJun 4, 7:26 AM

67.26%chance

446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

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