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Prediction markets for Reuters World News

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

27.79%chance

111598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will Jesus return on November 25 2026

Jun 8, 10:58 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM

1%chance

71286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?

Apr 21, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.73%chance

23750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

84

Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.

Feb 24, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.71%chance

19562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

40

will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

Mar 1, 7:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.83%chance

18490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Will Iran's food stockpile run out before Aug 2, 2026?

May 2, 1:12 AMAug 2, 1:12 AM

3.9%chance

11473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

497

20

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

46

How will the next World War begin?

Oct 14, 12:46 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8131

OptionProbability

Conflict in Asia

Conflict in Europe

Conflict in Africa

Conflict in America

Conflict in Antarctica

76

54

50

43

20

Will the next nuclear bomb end a worldwide conflict, or be the beginning of one?

Apr 8, 2:01 AMDec 31, 1:59 AM

43%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will Melania Trump attend the 2026 World Cup final match for national teams?

May 25, 10:28 AMJul 19, 11:59 PM

45%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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