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Prediction markets for Reuters World News

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

25.55%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

586

Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?

Apr 21, 1:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.42%chance

271318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

532

19

Will Jesus return on November 25 2026

Jun 8, 10:58 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM

1%chance

71286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

82%chance

121189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

213

47

FIFA President be sacked?

Jul 29, 6:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.53%chance

201140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

413

24

will world war 3 start before GTA Vi?

Mar 1, 7:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2%chance

20914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.

Feb 24, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.57%chance

22850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

457

22

Will Russia control the world globally before 2031?

Oct 12, 4:55 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

3.26%chance

2265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

365

82

Will human genetic enhancement of embryos be legally permitted in at least one country by EOY 2040?

Aug 27, 9:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.91%chance

12176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

274

82

How will the next World War begin?

Oct 14, 12:46 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

8131

OptionProbability

Conflict in Asia

Conflict in Europe

Conflict in Africa

Conflict in America

Conflict in Antarctica

76

54

50

43

20

Will the next nuclear bomb end a worldwide conflict, or be the beginning of one?

Apr 8, 2:01 AMDec 31, 1:59 AM

43%chance

584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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