Reve News

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

76143919

OptionProbability

Other

$160-170B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$200-210B

$140-150B

$150-160B

$120-130B

$130-140B

$100-110B

$110-120B

$210-220B

$220-230B

$230-240B

$40-50B

$50-60B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

<$40B

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Sep 4, 7:49 AMMar 13, 6:59 AM

4242402

OptionProbability

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

Other

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

Someone else from the Red-haired Pirates besides Shanks was a past member or is a current member of the holy knights

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.09%chance

15319616

OptionVotes

YES

1722

1481

Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?

Dec 10, 3:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.86%chance

10717195

OptionVotes

YES

6860

981

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Apr 7, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.69%chance

5713464

OptionVotes

YES

3186

1353

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

2.17%chance

5211495

OptionVotes

YES

1752

939

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

Apr 6, 11:22 PMJul 6, 11:59 PM

44.75%chance

3911281

OptionVotes

YES

1111

900

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.89%chance

338786

OptionVotes

YES

1151

872

Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 12:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.12%chance

276740

OptionVotes

YES

1204

814

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

YES

1128

886

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.15%chance

381228

OptionVotes

YES

2133

1742

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.57%chance

3280

OptionVotes

YES

4054

3761

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What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Anthropic 60B revenue annual run rate on July 6, 2026?

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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