Reve News

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

85182377

OptionProbability

Other

$220-230B

$210-220B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$270-280B

$120-130B

$200-210B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$150-160B

$160-170B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$110-120B

$130-140B

$140-150B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Sep 4, 7:49 AMMar 13, 6:59 AM

4489358

OptionProbability

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

Other

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

Someone else from the Red-haired Pirates besides Shanks was a past member or is a current member of the holy knights

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Apr 7, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

6820808

OptionVotes

YES

4615

1000

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.09%chance

15319616

OptionVotes

YES

1722

1481

Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?

Dec 10, 3:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.87%chance

11018608

OptionVotes

YES

7653

928

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4%chance

5412487

OptionVotes

YES

963

955

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.11%chance

389624

OptionVotes

YES

1740

577

Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 12:49 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.12%chance

276740

OptionVotes

YES

1204

814

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

47.65%chance

233976

OptionVotes

YES

1234

610

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

YES

1128

886

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Jan 27, 7:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

41.15%chance

381228

OptionVotes

YES

2133

1742

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.57%chance

3280

OptionVotes

YES

4054

3761

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What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Australia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Will a therapy that substantially slows down or reverses the aging process in humans be developed before 2040?

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Will gray hair be mostly reversible before 2035?

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

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