Reveal News

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Sep 4, 7:49 AMMay 1, 5:59 AM

3429815

OptionProbability

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

Other

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

Someone else from the Red-haired Pirates besides Shanks was a past member or is a current member of the holy knights

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?

Jul 16, 2:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

71.12%chance

838272

OptionVotes

YES

1569

637

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM

33.3%chance

187719

OptionVotes

YES

14154

7065

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

604670

OptionProbability

OpenAI/Microsoft

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

Will it be revealed that GPT-5 was used for how GPT-5 will be released?

Apr 9, 1:19 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

63.82%chance

544081

OptionVotes

YES

1574

1025

Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?

Apr 10, 5:37 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

8.64%chance

563780

OptionVotes

YES

3918

1050

Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?

Nov 7, 7:11 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

75.06%chance

283372

OptionVotes

YES

1735

576

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Feb 19, 4:04 AMJan 16, 6:59 AM

20%chance

192854

OptionVotes

YES

1487

826

Will it be revealed that Big Mom is still alive before the end of One Piece?

Mar 22, 9:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.7%chance

191252

OptionVotes

YES

1129

744

Will Luffy's mother be revealed by the end of the series?

Aug 16, 1:40 AMAug 16, 4:59 AM

74.19%chance

231125

OptionVotes

YES

1084

956

Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?

Apr 10, 5:41 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

63.07%chance

42765

OptionVotes

YES

1105

980

Will it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?

Sep 24, 6:29 PMDec 31, 7:29 PM

45.87%chance

3201

OptionVotes

YES

1086

921

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Prediction markets for Reveal

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will it be revealed that GPT-5 was used for how GPT-5 will be released?

Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?

Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?

Will Nick Fuentes be revealed to be a Fed before 2040?

Will it be revealed that Big Mom is still alive before the end of One Piece?

Will Luffy's mother be revealed by the end of the series?

Will either Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2028 US elections?

Will it be revealed strategic AI chips Trump has allowed the UAE to buy have strategically benefited China's AI program?

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