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Prediction markets for Revenue

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

5149902

OptionProbability

Other

$100-110B

$90-100B

$140-150B

$110-120B

$80-90B

$120-130B

$130-140B

$70-80B

$60-70B

$40-50B

$50-60B

<$40B

20

12

10

10

9

8

8

7

6

3

2

2

1

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.54%chance

2312712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1665

601

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.63%chance

317489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1211

829

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55%chance

151816

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1106

905

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.55%chance

11951

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

895

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Will Anthropic’s revenue run rate overtake OpenAI’s in 2026

Feb 25, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.14%chance

14860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

1080

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.57%chance

3280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4054

3761

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?

Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce at least $500,000 in revenue?

Sep 21, 6:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.73%chance

5175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

891

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