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Prediction markets for Revenue

What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

85182377

OptionProbability

Other

$220-230B

$210-220B

$230-240B

$240-250B

$250-260B

$260-270B

$270-280B

$120-130B

$200-210B

$280-290B

$290-300B

$150-160B

$160-170B

$170-180B

$180-190B

$190-200B

$110-120B

$130-140B

$140-150B

<$40B

$60-70B

$70-80B

$80-90B

$90-100B

$100-110B

$40-50B

$50-60B

22

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

Will Anthropic Annual Recurring Revenue be under $90bn end of 2026?

Apr 7, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

6820808

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4615

1000

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.21%chance

3015712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1272

787

OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?

Oct 15, 10:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.11%chance

389624

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1740

577

OpenAI or Anthropic 2028 revenue at $3T+

Apr 7, 10:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.69%chance

347708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2890

346

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?

May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.99%chance

12961

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

887

Will a song produced using Grimes' AI vocal resource pass $100K in revenue?

May 6, 4:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

54.2%chance

28925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

654

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.57%chance

3280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4054

3761

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?

Mar 17, 12:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

59.81%chance

3220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

820

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