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Prediction markets for Richards

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

197

Will Richard Dawkins ever convert to faith?

Aug 14, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.14%chance

234888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4814

208

At what age will Richard Hanania die?

May 9, 8:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.83%chance

184881

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1025

972

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

22.71%chance

294658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

945

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.64%chance

232601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

923

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Feynman to 2026 end

Sep 29, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.2%chance

332080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1706

654

Richard Lewis stock (Permanent)

Jan 8, 7:23 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

131751

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1284

931

Will Richard Ojeda win North Carolinas 9th District?

Mar 4, 7:30 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

23.63%chance

10479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

50

Will Keith Richards outlive Mick Jagger?

Oct 11, 5:34 PMNov 11, 7:59 AM

34.31%chance

18393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

916

Will Tilted Arc by Richard Serra be able to be seen publicly again, in an installation or museum, by the end of 2028?

Aug 31, 7:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.32%chance

7245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

30

In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?

Mar 30, 4:29 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

64%chance

12141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

952

Will Bradley Voytek (or Richard Gao/Tom Donoghue/any member of his lab) win Kavli Prize in Neuroscience by 2050?

Sep 21, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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