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Prediction markets for Riemann Hypothesis

Will an AI model write the proof to the Riemann Hypothesis by the end of 2025?

Sep 14, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.15%chance

175184146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106543

1708

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Jul 12, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.59%chance

608024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

646

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?

Apr 2, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.46%chance

252946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

416

24

Trump mentions Riemann hypothesis during 2nd term how many times?

Jun 9, 10:59 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

81092

Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold?

Jan 10, 8:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.65%chance

18980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

934

Is the Riemann hypothesis correct?

Sep 8, 4:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

90.41%chance

18963

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

917

Is the Riemann hypothesis true, false or unprovable in ZFC?

Jan 10, 7:28 AMJan 10, 7:37 AM

16858

OptionProbability

It is provably true in ZFC.

It is provably false in ZFC.

It is unprovably true in ZFC.

It is unprovably false in ZFC.

89

7

3

1

Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?

Nov 26, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.94%chance

23820

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

809

Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?

Dec 22, 10:11 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

44.51%chance

12644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before blue-collar jobs are automated?

Dec 25, 7:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

8350

OptionProbability

Neither

Blue-collar jobs automated first (before 2030)

Riemann Hypothesis solved first (before 2030)

48

29

23

Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?

Jan 3, 2:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.32%chance

6174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

71

If the Riemann hypothesis is false, how many counterexamples does it have?

May 27, 12:35 PMDec 31, 8:55 AM

3128

OptionProbability

Countably infinitely many

Uncountably many

More than twelve, but finitely many

Twelve

Four

Eight

28

25

20

10

9

8

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