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Prediction markets for Riemann Hypothesis

AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035

Jul 12, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.58%chance

7313058

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

680

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?

Apr 2, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

283219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

569

18

Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold?

Jan 10, 8:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.48%chance

271735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1924

917

Trump mentions Riemann hypothesis during 2nd term how many times?

Jun 9, 10:59 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

111545

OptionProbability

0

1-500

501 - 1000

Above 1000

98

1

0

0

Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?

Dec 24, 8:31 PMDec 26, 8:31 PM

72.75%chance

181283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1634

612

Is the Riemann hypothesis correct?

Sep 8, 4:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

90.41%chance

18963

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

917

Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?

Dec 22, 10:11 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

22.09%chance

16934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Will we have a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis by 2060?

Nov 26, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.78%chance

24840

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

829

Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050?

Mar 26, 6:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.76%chance

11407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

159

Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?

Dec 23, 1:18 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

21401

OptionProbability

No proof

Human-AI Collaboration

Pure Human Effort

AI Model

90

6

2

2

Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?

Jan 3, 2:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

39.43%chance

7184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

81

If the Riemann hypothesis is false, how many counterexamples does it have?

May 27, 12:35 PMDec 31, 8:55 AM

3128

OptionProbability

Countably infinitely many

Uncountably many

More than twelve, but finitely many

Twelve

Four

Eight

28

25

20

10

9

8

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