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Prediction markets for Robotaxi Day

When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?

Jan 2, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

144329

OptionProbability

It won't, not before 2027

October 2026

November 2026

December 2026

September 2026

January 2026

February 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

June 2026

July 2026

August 2026

70

13

11

11

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2026? [description]

Dec 17, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.77%chance

102846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3126

615

When will Tesla share price reach $500?

Jan 2, 10:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

112542

OptionProbability

Nov-Dec 2026

Sep-Oct 2026

Jul-Aug 2026

Jan-Feb 2026

Mar-Apr 2026

May-Jun 2026

53

40

2

1

1

1

Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service be suspended in CA for 30 days before the end of 2027? [description]

Feb 15, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.16%chance

102023

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2569

389

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:12 AMAug 6, 12:00 AM

97.08%chance

9933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

539

14

Will Zoox obtain an AV Driverless Deployment Permit from the CA DMV by the end of 2026

Jan 12, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

7431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?

Aug 6, 4:36 PMAug 6, 12:00 AM

27.17%chance

15234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

65

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Sep 8, 1:49 AMMay 5, 11:59 PM

88.59%chance

3165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

13

Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026?

Sep 15, 1:47 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

18.16%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

98

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