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Prediction markets for ROS

When will the U.S. government confirm that the Roswell incident was an actual UFO crash?

Sep 18, 8:00 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

3323114

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

28

17

6

0

0

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

30.75%chance

18220153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

666

Will Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?

Jan 9, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.45%chance

387878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2858

577

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Oct 17, 1:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

64.38%chance

223841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

964

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.21%chance

433114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

825

Rosewrist Stock (Permanent)

Nov 11, 5:22 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

431014

OptionProbability

NO

YES

881

802

Will Max Roser create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.33%chance

10345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

779

Would Charles Rosenbauer @bzogrammer beat Victor Taelin at codeforces?

May 6, 1:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

89.43%chance

2210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

291

34

Will Roscosmos's Luna 27 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 16, 2:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37%chance

7169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

130

The Rosetta Stone disappears, is stolen, or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 5:07 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.25%chance

5167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

119

Will the England Women's Rugby Union Team, the Red Roses, lose a game in 2026?

Jan 13, 3:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.18%chance

286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will Skullgirls reach a total of 20 or more playable characters in the game roster?

Nov 28, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.1%chance

622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

95

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