Routine News

YES

2030 or later

2027-2029

2026

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

The Jews control at least one nation's government

Imane Khelif is intersex

The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

DHMO in the water supply

Dream faked the Manhunt videos

Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

Santa is rigged

That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

√-1 isn't real

Smartphones listen in on private conversations

The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.

The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.

Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

Groundhog Day is rigged

Annie Altman's abuse claims

Gamergate was right

Dead Internet theory

Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

The NBA rigs the draft lottery

The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

John McAfee didn't kill himself

At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.

The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

China made covid 19 in a lab

Eating your veggies is bad for your health

Rory Stewart worked for MI6

At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.

The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

The Clintons assasinated their rivals

@strutheo is @notrickspringfield

China was not genociding Uyghurs

Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.

Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

Sue Gray was a spy

Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.

Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.

Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

The CIA killed JFK

Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

The NFL is rigged

The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle

A cure for cancer has already been found

Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

Harold Holt murdered

Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA

COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

Ogopogo is real

QAnon

Exercise is bad for your health

A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

Israel killed JFK

Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.

Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

Allen Iverson invented A.I.

The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

Bush did 9/11

Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

Princess Diana was assassinated

QR codes are satanic

Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

Human didnt evolve from apes

Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Rationalussy isn't real.

Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

Tupac is still alive in 2024

Bielefeld does not exist

The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

The Mandella Effect in general is real

The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

US government is harboring aliens

Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

Birds aren't real

climate change isn't human caused

Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

Climate change isn’t real

The moon landing was fake

The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.

The illuminati runs the world

*All* health care is net negative for health

Michelle Obama is a man

Brazilian money is not real

Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026

Yeti is real or similar creature

Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

The earth is a dodecahedron

Skibidi Toilet is real

Q is Putin

It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

Africa isn't real

Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

There is no female orgasm

The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

The earth is flat

*All* vaccines are net negative for health

End of the world in 2012

Earth is hollow

Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

Finland isn't real

Australia isn't real.

5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

Nuclear weapons have never existed

Flossing is bad for your health

Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

NO

Has 10,000+ articles

Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

Contains AI-generated articles

Accessible without login

Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

Content is under a free license

Contains a "Wikipedia" article

No entry for Mechahitler

Has an entry for Manifold Markets

Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

it is cringe

It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

Released in 2026

Anyone can edit

Administered by a partially-human editorial board

Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

Articles written in 10+ languages

Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

Not released before 2030

Manifold likes it, according to a poll

Contains advertisements

Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

has an official app on the Apple App Store

Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

RV events

Police as crime solvers

Prison as corrective

Libertarian free will

Working gives us meaning.

LessWrong is a source of pure wisdom

IQ as an objective measure of general intelligence

Merit/desert

Neoliberalism

Proof School

Having kids

LSD unlocks a deeper consciousness

Rule a Country (discord server)

The meaning of life

Religion

The attitude that many of us tend to take way too many things way too seriously (serious submission)

Peer reviewed studies - lots of junk routinely passes peer review, replication/post publication peer review are much better indicators of quality of research

Quantum computing

Alcohol is needed for life to be fun

Death

Cryptocurrency

Pessimism about the future of the world

Founders/Entrepreneurs

meta-irony

On Manifold, mana inflation

Humans being innately (as opposed to instrumentally) more important than other animals

Free will in general

An apple a day

Clinical Psychology

Nihilism

meta-submissions

Children as planetary burden

focus on X-risks within EA as opposed to current issues

Nuclear fusion as the energy of the future

Anti-capitalism

Ockham’s razor

Free Trade

Deontological ethics

Analytic philosophy

Continental philosophy

Utilitarianism

Modernity

Capitalism

Freedom

The analytic-synthetic distinction

Veganism

Technological progress as a good thing

Moral relativism

Classical literature

Therapy

Being in shape

Rationality

Effective Altruism

Artificial Intelligence

Longevity/immortality

AI Doomerism

Politics

Free Speech

The opinion that neoliberalism is overrated

The anti- AI art movement

Extended Travelling (as opposed to <4 week vacation)

Donald Trump being the worst thing for the US and the world

Enlightenment

Taking things seriously

Unconditional love

Reason

Environmentalism for its own sake (rather than for humans' sake)

Psychedelics

Atheism

Russia = Evil, Ukraine = Good

Privacy

Living

Prediction markets

democracy

Biodiversity

Virtue

YES

Associate/informant provides suspect’s name

Security/doorbell camera footage leading to identification

DNA match from evidence

Suspect voluntarily surrenders

Social media post or online confession leads to identification

Ballistics trace links weapon to suspect

Fingerprint match from evidence

Public tip to police (hotline/Crimestoppers)

Facial recognition match

Cellphone location/records analysis identifies suspect

International cooperation

Automated license plate reader or traffic camera hit

Identified while seeking medical treatment

Identified during a routine traffic stop or unrelated arrest

Undercover operation or sting identifies suspect

YES

YES

Audiobook narration indistinguishable from human

Solve all fresh Sudoku puzzles >99% of the time (LLMs only)

Consistently win games of "Diplomacy" against experienced players online

Improvise and perform professional-level stand-up comedy routines

Executes a synchronized dance routine.

Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.

Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.

Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.

Drives a car.

Hits a dartboard bullseye.

Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.

Prepares a gourmet dish.

Replicates a complex origami figure.

Kill a human

Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.

Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.