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Prediction markets for Royal

Will Aj Styles Retire at the 2026 royal rumble?

Jan 22, 5:39 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

78.96%chance

119390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1937

516

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

2%chance

6999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

26

Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5.87%chance

8499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

530

51

Which will be the next country to renounce the British Royal Family and become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8430

OptionProbability

Jamaica

Papua New Guinea

Australia

Saint Vincent & the Grenadines

Belize

Other

Antigua and Barbuda

None by market close

India

New Zealand

Canada

The Bahamas

Grenada

Saint Kitts & Nevis

Saint Lucia

Solomon Islands

Tuvalu

The United Kingdom

29

29

20

13

6

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the Royal Navy launch a ship named HMS Blinky Wombat by 2028?

Jul 6, 9:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

4.99%chance

9424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

How many years after 2020 will the next country renounce the British Royal Family to become a Republic?

Oct 26, 11:32 PMDec 20, 4:59 PM

34.01%chance

8420

OptionProbability

YES

NO

195

161

Will the keel be laid for a third Royal Navy Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carrier prior to January 2030?

Apr 1, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.45%chance

4336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

59

Will Prince Harry be formally stripped of his royal title by the end of 2030?

Jun 15, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.77%chance

385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

95

Will an SSN-AUKUS submarine enter service with the Royal Australian Navy before 2045?

Apr 4, 11:19 PMJan 3, 12:30 PM

70.55%chance

476

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

76

Will any Type 45 destroyer still be in commission in the Royal Navy in 2040?

Jan 27, 1:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

54.45%chance

230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

60

Will a Type 32 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy before 2040?

May 10, 9:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

60.59%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

62

40

When will the first Type 26 frigate be commissioned by the Royal Navy?

Feb 10, 11:48 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

-2027

2028

2029

2030+

31

29

20

20

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