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Prediction markets for Rule 11

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.72%chance

14437539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5093

197

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.76%chance

2426325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32266

3099

Bitcoin $55K before $85K?

Feb 23, 8:47 AMDec 31, 9:45 AM

56.92%chance

3718145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

Is Q* about solving maths problems?

Nov 27, 6:52 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.03%chance

263160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

837

Bitcoin $50K before $90K?

Feb 23, 8:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.38%chance

222301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

992

Will any US state ban contraception by 2030?

Jan 3, 12:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.23%chance

332214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1545

868

Bitcoin $45K before $100K?

Feb 23, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.43%chance

91323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

876

Will a new Magic card reference The Stack XOR Summoning Sickness before 2028?

Feb 13, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.46%chance

8962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1858

538

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Aug 31, 4:32 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

22.11%chance

16510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

901

Will qualified immunity be substantially repealed before 2040?

Nov 1, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.38%chance

12477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

1039

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