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Prediction markets for Rule 11

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.82%chance

14438445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5869

171

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.7%chance

3134762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25099

3984

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

Will Sun get a girlfriend before October 12, 2027?

Oct 16, 8:01 PMOct 11, 3:00 PM

28.09%chance

383511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5453

4042

Will a new Magic card reference The Stack XOR Summoning Sickness before 2028?

Feb 13, 1:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.72%chance

143335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1675

597

Bitcoin $45K before $100K?

Feb 23, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.34%chance

102022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1763

567

Will the US create a universal Healthcare system by EOY 2030?

Oct 20, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

6746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.41%chance

14649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1478

677

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Aug 31, 4:32 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

22.11%chance

16510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

901

Will qualified immunity be substantially repealed before 2040?

Nov 1, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.38%chance

12477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

1039

Will a US House seat flip from Democrat to Republican in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.75%chance

3164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2104

1966

Will a US House seat flip from Republican to Democrat in a 2027 special election?

Oct 21, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.32%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

914

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