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Prediction markets for Rule 11

US acquires part of Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.48%chance

14437363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5269

190

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by June 30?

Jun 16, 8:04 AMJun 30, 6:59 AM

16.36%chance

14932094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6749

931

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.23%chance

2412340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1485

674

Bitcoin $55K before $85K?

Feb 23, 8:47 AMDec 31, 9:45 AM

53.45%chance

2511916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

933

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.78%chance

175742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15357

6512

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 15?

Jun 17, 1:36 AMJul 16, 6:59 AM

47.56%chance

444543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

55.66%chance

394057

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

932

Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by July 31?

Jun 18, 1:03 AMAug 1, 6:59 AM

65.81%chance

263996

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1387

721

Bitcoin $50K before $90K?

Feb 23, 8:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.73%chance

181916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

947

Bitcoin $45K before $100K?

Feb 23, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.82%chance

6708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

763

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Aug 31, 4:32 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

22.11%chance

16510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

901

Will qualified immunity be substantially repealed before 2040?

Nov 1, 4:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.38%chance

12477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

1039

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