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Top stories

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

US Domestic Policy

Courts and Law Schools Tighten AI Guardrails After Fake Citations Spike

Authors

12

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Rule

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

21295967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7344

6758

Will a sitting US President refuse to follow or ignore a Supreme Court ruling by 2032?

Feb 22, 3:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.49%chance

8816876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1170

673

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.25%chance

2716588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17839

6551

If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?

Sep 19, 12:44 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

41.62%chance

5810932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1433

465

GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)

Feb 27, 12:20 AMNov 1, 9:41 PM

55.35%chance

183221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

769

Will TWA 800 crash lawsuit Krick v. Raytheon (Case 1:22-cv-11032-AK) be ruled in favor of the plaintiffs?

Jun 1, 8:09 PMJun 2, 5:59 AM

19.05%chance

51170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2061

485

Will the PSUV cease to be the ruling party of Venezuela before 2028?

Jan 3, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.61%chance

71122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

661

Will Manifold Staff rule that the POTUS is the President in this circumstance*?

Mar 11, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.22%chance

3705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

830

Will Amazon be ruled to have illegally maintained a monopoly in the US before the end of 2029?

Oct 24, 10:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.54%chance

17538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

991

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.68%chance

16523

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1013

904

Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?

May 6, 4:09 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

38.82%chance

6281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

797

Pickleball tournament uses variable paddle rules for mixed doubles

Oct 1, 6:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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