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Prediction markets for Russian intelligence

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

49.18%chance

579586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

984

Who really did the attack on Russia 22 Mars 2024

Mar 23, 12:08 PMMar 22, 10:59 PM

425513

OptionProbability

Muslim terrorists (Official Story)

Muslim terrorists (official story) + government inaction

Russian Intelligence (False-Flag)

Ukrainian Intelligence (False-Flag)

Israeli Intelligence (False-flag)

American Intelligence (False-Flag)

94

60

10

6

4

3

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Jun 6, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.94%chance

253648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2472

405

If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?

Mar 12, 8:49 PMJun 20, 7:59 PM

44.62%chance

573590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

96

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

26.31%chance

211383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

598

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6693

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Finland

Other

Estonia

Lithuania

Latvia

79

7

6

3

3

3

Which will be the first 6th generation fighter to enter service with a country's military?

Apr 6, 7:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

6414

OptionProbability

Boeing F-47

SAC J-50 (provisional name)

CAC J-36 (provisional name)

Other

F/A-XX (USN)

GCAP

FCAS

PAK DP

35

18

14

14

12

9

0

0

Does Mark Meadows have the missing binder of Russian election interference intelligence?

Dec 15, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.54%chance

13230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

74

Was Snowden a Russian Asset? (ie did he communicate with Russian intelligence before fleeing the US)

May 4, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.69%chance

8160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

121

Will the Su-75 have entered service in Russia by the end of 2033?

Jun 6, 9:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.02%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91

55

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