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Prediction markets for Russian landing

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?

Oct 30, 9:24 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM

4.48%chance

7416032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3193

687

Will there be a plane crash with ≥100 victims in Russia in 2025?

Jan 6, 1:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.56%chance

475083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2910

344

Will Russia completely annex Ukraine by end of 2025?

Sep 8, 5:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

2.46%chance

242262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

941

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

392087

OptionProbability

Never

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

Before end of 2033

75

15

8

2

China attacks or invades Russia's territory by mid 2028

Mar 5, 12:47 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.23%chance

191241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

865

Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?

Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

241179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

886

China gets direct land access to the sea of Japan from Russia through 2032

Sep 12, 11:27 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45.3%chance

10221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

172

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