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Top stories

Def CON Debate Erupts Over SquareX Claim Browser Add-Ons Threaten Passkeys

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for SaaS

Will Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?

Jan 22, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.48%chance

204643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

When will a cloud provider attribute an incident resolution to an autonomous AI agent

Feb 25, 4:35 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

3599

OptionProbability

>=2030

2027

2028

2029

2026

41

20

15

15

9

Will June 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)?

Jun 9, 2:14 AMJul 17, 12:25 PM

28.83%chance

253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

67

Will May 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)?

Jun 5, 8:16 PMJun 24, 1:55 PM

27.68%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

77

Will June 2026 U.S. housing starts be at least 1.4 million (SAAR)?

Jun 9, 1:16 AMJul 17, 12:25 PM

63%chance

334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

“Will the AI carbon emissions tracking SaaS reach 300 paying business customers by 31 Dec 2027?”

Jan 12, 5:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will June 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)?

Jun 9, 11:14 PMJul 24, 1:55 PM

42%chance

112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will May 2026 U.S. construction spending be at least $2.18T SAAR?

Jun 7, 4:20 AMJul 1, 1:55 PM

48%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will July 2026 U.S. housing starts be at least 1.4 million (SAAR)?

Jun 14, 3:14 PMAug 18, 12:25 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will July 2026 U.S. building permits be at least 1.45 million (SAAR)?

Jun 14, 4:19 PMAug 18, 12:25 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will July 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)?

Jun 16, 1:14 PMAug 25, 1:55 PM

42%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

A use case where a typical enterprise would need to have data in the cloud to fully enjoy the benefits of AI

Nov 29, 4:25 AM

00

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Infosec
Software
Tech
Def CON Debate Erupts Over SquareX Claim Browser Add-Ons Threaten Passkeys
Authors
5
10 months ago

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