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Prediction markets for Safe Points

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

44.33%chance

20494293229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13950

7317

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.92%chance

7333871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1227

815

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.53%chance

1418546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

601

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?

Dec 31, 1:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

55%chance

817853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1852

548

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2040?

Dec 23, 2:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

58.32%chance

293845

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1268

741

Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?

Dec 31, 2:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

71.15%chance

633208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1595

1109

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Jan 1, 3:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

63.73%chance

533204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

927

Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?

Dec 29, 1:15 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

77%chance

181792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

151

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?

Dec 30, 3:27 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

78.84%chance

261277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

767

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

Jul 11, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.2%chance

10296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

956

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

Mar 10, 12:26 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

54.9%chance

12266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

953

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of an 18-28 y/o adult 25+ points with under $1 MM before 2030?

Jul 11, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.78%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

75

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