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Prediction markets for SAVE Plan

Will Tesla's Cybercab be released by 2030 with a sticker price of $30,000 or less?

Dec 1, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.75%chance

3028208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3718

269

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.51%chance

195543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10062

2804

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4193

4124

Will Tiger Woods ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Aug 4, 2:24 PMDec 12, 4:59 AM

4.09%chance

422174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2111

880

Trump publicly calls himself a king?

May 3, 9:25 PMMay 5, 9:23 PM

27.3%chance

341986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will I give birth before age 30?

Mar 9, 3:45 PMApr 16, 2:29 PM

62.12%chance

111161

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1281

781

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

22.03%chance

111012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1881

532

When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?

Oct 3, 8:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11427

OptionProbability

2029 or later

2026

2028

2027

2025

2024

43

24

19

11

3

1

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Leading AI lab spends $100k+ on remote worker training data before 2028?

Apr 20, 3:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.02%chance

13293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

248

40

Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027

May 26, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.51%chance

7284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will Ford, GM, or Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by end 2028?

Oct 19, 10:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.36%chance

9129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

133

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