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Prediction markets for Scam

Computer-use AI agent gets scammed / falls victim to a phishing attack, in 2025?

Jan 23, 6:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.16%chance

333791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2010

498

Is Lumina probiotics a scam?

Nov 20, 11:49 AMNov 28, 4:59 AM

36.18%chance

312451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

957

784

Is it ethical to scam scammers?

Feb 12, 2:09 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

42.73%chance

321295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

948

Will I be scammed out of at least $100 by the end of 2025?

Dec 26, 2:10 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.18%chance

211007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

946

AI Warning Signs: Before 2030, will an AI system scam someone without being given explicit instructions to do so?

Jan 18, 7:06 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

60%chance

9762

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2028?

Feb 23, 2:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84.98%chance

19638

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1500

861

What dark web markets will have exit scammed before the end of 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]

Apr 4, 4:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6318

OptionProbability

Cypher Market

White House

Flugsvamp 4.0

DrugHub

DarkMatter

SuperMarket

Abacus

Archetyp

100

66

66

50

50

50

34

24

Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?

Feb 23, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.23%chance

14266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

976

Will "zkSync" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Dec 11, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.84%chance

7243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

90

At the end of 2026, will the general public believe that Coffeezilla has ever been involved in a crypto scam?

Dec 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.79%chance

7154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

Will "Soulbound Tokens" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?

Dec 11, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

110

If I write an article about how MTG buyers and sellers can use Manifold to keep themselves safe from scams, will at least 20 people join the site due to it?

Feb 7, 7:32 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

48.76%chance

8122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

139

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