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Prediction markets for Schedule

Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?

Jul 24, 9:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

90.78%chance

877949

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1962

844

Will Argentina hold presidential elections on schedule in 2027?

Nov 20, 3:13 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

86.02%chance

395158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1432

874

Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled?

Oct 3, 2:24 PMNov 8, 11:59 PM

88.99%chance

254692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2844

352

Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?

Aug 9, 6:45 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10.93%chance

264226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2854

350

Red Bull-BORA-hansgrohe GC Leader Grand Tour Scheduling Conundrum 2026

Aug 5, 7:13 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM

61489

OptionProbability

Remco Evenepoel starts the Tour de France

Florian Lipowitz starts the Tour de France

Primoz Roglic starts the Vuelta a España

Giulio Pelizzari starts the Giro d'Italia

Jai Hindley starts the Giro d'Italia

Florian Lipowitz starts the Vuelta a España

Giulio Pelizzari starts the Vuelta a España

Jai Hindley starts the Vuelta a España

Jai Hindley starts the Tour de France

Remco Evenepoel starts the Vuelta a España

Primoz Roglic starts the Tour de France

Primoz Roglic starts the Giro d'Italia

Giulio Pelizzari starts the Tour de France

Remco Evenepoel starts the Giro d'Italia

Florian Lipowitz starts the Giro d'Italia

80

80

80

80

80

37

37

37

32

27

25

20

20

15

15

Will I maintain my exercise and sleep schedule every day this February?

Jan 31, 7:14 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

53.43%chance

271330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1284

368

Will Estrogen become a scheduled substance in the US by the end of 2028?

Nov 10, 4:03 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

24.26%chance

91302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1767

566

5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.93%chance

8979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1779

564

Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?

Oct 17, 1:32 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

47.32%chance

17956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

405

Will regularly-scheduled supersonic flights operate between Los Angeles and Tokyo in 2050?

Jun 20, 12:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.68%chance

11288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

165

By which year will Apple change its naming/release schedule for iPhones

Aug 24, 5:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7287

OptionProbability

By 2027 (iPhone 19)

By 2030 (iPhone 22)

By 2029 (iPhone 21)

By 2028 (iPhone 20)

By 2026 (iPhone 18)

No changes until after 2030

By 2024 (iPhone 16)

By 2025 (iPhone 17)

83

81

80

76

50

50

0

0

Will the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?

Jan 12, 1:04 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

27.9%chance

7227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

484

185

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