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Prediction markets for Scheduled Actions

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17781

14066

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

24.34%chance

789595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1763

567

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.44%chance

224116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

569

Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2?

Jun 14, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:20 PM

92.01%chance

193561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3393

295

Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?

Jan 14, 1:34 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

90%chance

403328

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

33

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 17, 10:04 PMSep 16, 6:25 PM

1%chance

71211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

14

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.2%chance

381205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

770

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will Vix hit 100 for at least 30 cumulative days by 2034?

Feb 2, 6:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.04%chance

11367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

477

148

Will there be a full Marvel Studios live-action X-Men movie released before the end of 2029?

Mar 30, 5:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.59%chance

11186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

186

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:01 PMOct 28, 6:25 PM

14.87%chance

5158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

50

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