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Prediction markets for Scheduled Actions

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

38.57%chance

738759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1262

792

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.44%chance

224116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

569

Will Trump allow the US Mid-term elections to run in 2026?

Jan 14, 1:34 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

91.67%chance

393258

OptionVotes

NO

YES

332

30

Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2?

Jun 14, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:20 PM

85.73%chance

182619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2451

408

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.42%chance

371200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

765

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

961

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the July 29, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 18, 12:02 AMJul 29, 6:25 PM

1.92%chance

7679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

779

19

Will Vix hit 100 for at least 30 cumulative days by 2034?

Feb 2, 6:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.58%chance

11347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

457

150

When will Brave browser's Leo have agentic capacities?

Jan 21, 9:03 PMJan 21, 9:03 PM

2225

OptionProbability

After

Before Oct 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

64

24

17

10

Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?

Jun 17, 10:04 PMSep 16, 6:25 PM

10.4%chance

4193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

42

Will there be a full Marvel Studios live-action X-Men movie released before the end of 2029?

Mar 30, 5:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

71.59%chance

11186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

186

Rogue is gonna be in the new spider man movie ??

Jun 2, 7:13 PMJul 23, 11:59 PM

47.65%chance

332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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