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Prediction markets for Scheduled Actions

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.27%chance

3733958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19453

13614

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

23.16%chance

799625

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1821

549

Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?

Feb 15, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

0.02%chance

649077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4189

0

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.44%chance

224116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

569

Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2?

Jun 14, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:20 PM

93.55%chance

193976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3808

263

Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid

Apr 7, 11:20 PMDec 30, 11:19 PM

99%chance

92593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?

Jan 24, 8:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.2%chance

381205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

770

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

13931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

959

Which month will CONTROL: Resonant release in?

Mar 15, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3597

OptionProbability

September

October

Other

July

August

April

May

June

81

5

5

3

3

1

1

1

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

797

Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM

25.07%chance

256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

93

Will all type of vaccines be abolished during the second Trump administration?

Sep 16, 5:52 AMJan 20, 7:30 AM

3.28%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

98

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