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Prediction markets for Schengen

When will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch?

Nov 10, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42767

OptionProbability

Q3 2025

Q1 2027 or later

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q4 2026

Q2 2025

Q1 2025

14

13

12

12

12

12

12

10

1

What countries will join the Schengen area before 2030

Apr 2, 2:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

101233

OptionProbability

Romania

Bulgaria

Iceland

Andorra

San Marino

Ireland

Cyprus

Gibraltar

Albania

Montenegro

UK

99

99

99

50

50

48

47

41

41

34

10

Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027?

Jan 21, 10:07 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

80.69%chance

4316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

949

Will Serbian passport holders at any point be required to obtain visas to enter Schengen countries by Jan 1st 2026?

Oct 20, 7:56 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

7.37%chance

5230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

320

34

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