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Prediction markets for School Time

During Trump's presidency, which types of unemployment will reach new highs?

Nov 9, 7:59 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

1111188

OptionProbability

U-1

U-2

U-4

U-5

U-3

27

24

24

24

18

Is Richard Hanania correct that major institutions are anti-white and anti-male. There is Gay propaganda in schools etc.

Apr 4, 11:03 PMJul 25, 7:24 AM

24.69%chance

294632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

971

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Nov 17, 4:34 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM

63975

OptionProbability

95.5%-96.49%

96.5%-97.49%

94%-95.49%

Below 94%

97.5% or above

29

27

19

12

12

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4193

4124

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

16.12%chance

112352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2281

438

Will high-school or college students in 2040 be able to tell time on an analog clock?

Nov 28, 9:30 PMMay 13, 10:59 PM

88.52%chance

111960

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

957

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.05%chance

401124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

2104

Will reading in the schools be optional by 2060?

Dec 22, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.94%chance

171016

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1068

837

Will reading in the schools be optional by 2045?

Nov 12, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.23%chance

16845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

917

Will I date someone from Nueva? (Ṁ999 Subsidy)

Aug 19, 4:36 AMApr 13, 6:59 AM

63.74%chance

17699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1298

1121

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

Will I get ED CMU SCS 2026

Dec 17, 12:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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