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Prediction markets for Scientific Reports

Has Taj Quantum invented a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor?

Jul 30, 9:42 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.44%chance

13686082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6685

1740

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Sep 6, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.3%chance

569655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2045

489

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.44%chance

473985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

695

Will the alleged alien mummies from Peru be debunked before 2026?

Nov 10, 5:37 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

35.48%chance

173346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

284

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2681

373

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.06%chance

233123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3255

688

Will ivermectin be proven to be a superconducter by new years 2026

Aug 29, 9:18 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1.36%chance

141729

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1795

946

Does the asteroid polyhymnia contain elements missing from the periodic table?

Oct 25, 2:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4.55%chance

261669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

941

Radiological "dirty bomb" attack anywhere in the world by 2029-06-30

Jun 22, 3:26 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

24.72%chance

171206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

573

Will the aetiology of autism be determined by the end of 2026?

Aug 5, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.91%chance

221144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1888

902

Will the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?

Dec 28, 9:26 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.62%chance

21945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

933

Viable human eggs from human cells in a lab by 2030?

May 12, 5:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

4107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

905

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