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Top stories

Club Brugge Crush Rangers 9–1 on Aggregate to Seal Champions League Spot

Club Brugge Crush Rangers 9–1 on Aggregate to Seal Champions League Spot

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5

3 months ago

Dundee Teen’s Armed Standoff Rekindles Anger Over UK Grooming Gangs

Dundee Teen’s Armed Standoff Rekindles Anger Over UK Grooming Gangs

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3 months ago

Champions League Draw Sets PSG-Bayern, Real-City Clashes in New 36-Team Format

Champions League Draw Sets PSG-Bayern, Real-City Clashes in New 36-Team Format

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35

3 months ago

Police Scotland Charge Teen Seen Wielding Knife and Axe in Viral Video

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3 months ago

UK Rail Police Warn Violence Against Women Up 59% Since 2021

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3 months ago

Jeremy Balfour Quits Tory as Reform Support Hits 31%, Corbyn’s Party Gains 28% Labour Members and Plans Scottish Branch

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4 months ago

Prediction markets for Scottish

Will there be another Scottish Independence referendum by 2026?

Dec 19, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.13%chance

3812877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11628

475

Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?

May 17, 5:42 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

47.31%chance

219695

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

723

In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?

Aug 28, 7:40 AMMay 31, 10:59 PM

133088

OptionProbability

Scottish National Party

Labour

Conservative

Reform

Liberal Democrats

Greens

Alba

All others

35

20

17

12

8

5

2

1

Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?

Jan 18, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

50%chance

382238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

853

Scottish Parliament: Will there be an Extraordinary General Election called before the next ordinary general election?

Apr 27, 10:13 PMMay 6, 10:59 PM

11.34%chance

6436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

499

74

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.53%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

525

49

Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?

Aug 18, 8:15 AMJun 1, 10:59 PM

43.14%chance

12401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

111

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum (indyref2) by 2030?

Sep 10, 4:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.51%chance

16348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

939

Will Velcro be banned in all Scottish marmalade factories before 1st January 2026?

Jun 20, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.88%chance

3268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

27

Which Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?

Jan 17, 5:17 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3160

OptionProbability

Saxavord

Sutherland

85

15

If Reform wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?

Sep 19, 1:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3127

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

If Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?

Sep 19, 1:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

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