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Second World War News
Top stories
Britain
World
World’s Oldest Person Ethel Caterham Turns 116 in Quiet Surrey Celebration
Authors
12
1 year ago
Britain
Culture
World
King Charles Warns of War’s Cost at VJ Day 80th Anniversary
Authors
30
1 year ago
Britain
Natural Disasters
Environment
North Yorkshire Moor Wildfire Triggers 18 Explosions of WWII Bombs on Former 1940s Tank Training Ground
Authors
8
1 year ago
Prediction markets for Second World War
Prediction markets for Second World War
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.17%
chance
16
992
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1100
977
Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.
Dec 24, 3:53 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
32.56%
chance
21
893
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1061
803
Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29
Mar 7, 10:25 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
56%
chance
3
128
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1128
886
Will World War 3 occur during second Trump administration?
Nov 3, 1:47 PM
Jan 20, 11:00 AM
8.06%
chance
2
59
Option
Votes
YES
NO
159
93
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?
Dec 3, 4:22 PM
1
0
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