Section News

Louisiana Urges Supreme Court to Strike VRA’s Section 2, End Race-Based Maps

5 months ago

Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?

Feb 10, 5:00 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

5.66%chance

77116950

OptionVotes

YES

2308

856

Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

Mar 31, 11:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

52.62%chance

13120586

OptionVotes

YES

1221

725

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Oct 17, 7:08 PMOct 17, 11:59 PM

69.67%chance

1914646

OptionVotes

YES

15156

6598

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?

Nov 6, 8:14 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

7.85%chance

135776

OptionVotes

YES

3427

292

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Sep 2, 9:08 PMJan 20, 4:59 PM

8.21%chance

103297

OptionVotes

YES

3343

299

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.47%chance

12526

OptionVotes

YES

309

Will Section 230 be repealed by the end of 2028?

Mar 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.9%chance

2202

OptionVotes

YES

1202

832

Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page have a criticism section by end of 2030?

Jan 12, 12:07 AMJan 1, 12:06 AM

40.36%chance

6134

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will Section 230(c) of the Communications Decency Act be significantly amended or repealed by December 31, 2026?

Oct 24, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.14%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

199

What is true about the plaintext of the fourth section of KRYPTOS (add answers).

Oct 16, 6:25 PMOct 19, 6:12 PM

150

OptionProbability

Text involves time period between 1930 and the present.

Text involves the future.

Text is somehow self-referential.

The plaintext is an original message, not a quotation.

The plaintext involves Jim Sanborn personally in some way.

The plaintext involves CIA in some way.

The plaintext involves the intelligence community at large.

Text is about exploration/discovery.

Text involves artefacts, art works and or treasure.

Will the Israeli metro project contain any elevated sections?

Aug 6, 12:45 PMAug 6, 8:59 PM

49.82%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 1 between 2020 and 2030?

Mar 14, 8:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.96%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

Section News

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Prediction markets for Section

Prediction markets for Section

Prediction markets for Section

Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?

Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

Will the Supreme Court weaken Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act in Louisiana v. Callais?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?

Will Section 230 be repealed by the end of 2028?

Will Manifold’s Wikipedia page have a criticism section by end of 2030?

Will Section 230(c) of the Communications Decency Act be significantly amended or repealed by December 31, 2026?

What is true about the plaintext of the fourth section of KRYPTOS (add answers).

Will the Israeli metro project contain any elevated sections?

By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 1 between 2020 and 2030?

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