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Prediction markets for Section
Will President Trump be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?
Feb 10, 5:00 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
8.09%chance
205155998
OptionVotes
6512
5915
Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?
Mar 31, 11:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
52.62%chance
13120586
OptionVotes
1221
725
Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?
Nov 6, 8:14 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM
7.85%chance
135776
OptionVotes
3427
292
Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?
Sep 2, 9:08 PMJan 20, 4:59 PM
8.21%chance
103297
OptionVotes
3343
299
Will any additional major section of the White House be demolished in 2026?
Oct 24, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.55%chance
13528
OptionVotes
291
34
OptionVotes
1202
832
Will Section 230(c) of the Communications Decency Act be significantly amended or repealed by December 31, 2026?
Oct 24, 2:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.72%chance
3124
OptionVotes
184
54
Will Trump raise the global Section 122 tariff rate to 15% before June 1, 2026?
Apr 15, 9:13 AMJun 2, 4:30 AM
15.27%chance
1100
OptionVotes
200
70
What is true about the plaintext of the fourth section of KRYPTOS (add answers).
Oct 16, 6:25 PMOct 19, 6:12 PM
150
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
46
46
46
46
46
Will the Israeli metro project contain any elevated sections?
Aug 6, 12:45 PMAug 6, 8:59 PM
49.82%chance
335
OptionVotes
98
79
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 1 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
31.96%chance
331
OptionVotes
99
51
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55.23%chance
230
OptionVotes
100
81