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Secure Future Initiative News
Prediction markets for Secure Future Initiative
Prediction markets for Secure Future Initiative
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Nov 7, 7:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.28%
chance
26
4385
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3328
300
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
72.6%
chance
10
2953
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1628
614
EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?
Jul 14, 12:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25.06%
chance
12
2452
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1729
578
Will DC metro trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?
May 20, 12:33 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
15.22%
chance
6
793
Option
Votes
YES
NO
236
42
Proof of Personhood SDK stock
Apr 8, 8:05 PM
Apr 9, 6:29 PM
21
351
Option
Probability
NO
YES
416
404
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
1
24
Option
Votes
NO
YES
124
67
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