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Securiti AI News

SOAI#4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security

Oct 9, 11:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.77%chance

312069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1743

574

Will an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?

Feb 12, 11:07 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

94.32%chance

191734

OptionVotes

NO

YES

775

38

Will "Cognitive Security as an AI Safety Cause Area" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

May 26, 1:56 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.16%chance

2260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

964

Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?

Jan 14, 12:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.3%chance

15188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

950

Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.9%chance

4171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

87

Will POTUS issue an executive order aiming to mitigate security risks associated with open-source AI models before 2027?

Jul 20, 8:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.15%chance

12163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Will "AI companies should publish security assessments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jul 7, 7:15 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

1142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will a second AI lab say one of its models can find and exploit unknown security flaws on its own?

Sep 3, 4:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.74%chance

7108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028

Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.47%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

115

A major AI conference will require bomb scanners or other security to prevent a terrorist attack by 2026

Mar 26, 4:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.98%chance

428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

119

By Sept 7 2031, will an AI securely control a US legal entity and its assets, with no human holding legal authority?

Sep 7, 5:14 AMSep 7, 4:00 AM

20.72%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

94

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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