Securities Act News
Prediction markets for Securities Act
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.38%chance
176141
OptionVotes
5347
187
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
81.31%chance
93929
OptionVotes
1134
954
Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026
Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM
75.87%chance
293508
OptionVotes
1196
915
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
132736
OptionProbability
100
100
100
79
76
68
68
68
66
66
66
57
56
56
51
49
48
47
46
42
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
37
37
36
35
35
34
33
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
27
24
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63%chance
202212
OptionVotes
1307
768
Will humanity exit the semi-anarchic default condition before 2035?
May 27, 2:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.79%chance
161362
OptionVotes
1696
589
OptionVotes
424
77
Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?
Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM
20.06%chance
2875
OptionVotes
1334
101
Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?
Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
84.51%chance
15836
OptionVotes
1123
942
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
5805
OptionVotes
1225
816
OptionVotes
1051
819
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
50.47%chance
3107
OptionVotes
1059
1041

