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Prediction markets for Seeker

Will Germany tighten its refugee policy before 2030?

Jul 11, 7:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84.16%chance

534386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1988

669

Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 3:53 PMJan 28, 6:29 PM

18.73%chance

223586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

581

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Jan 5, 4:16 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

10.75%chance

25943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

934

MoistCr1TiKaL announces new major business venture by March 31, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:29 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

7.74%chance

5435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

345

29

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

32.89%chance

6421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 4:00 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

79.84%chance

9421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

113

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Eighteen' take? (Read Description)

Mar 11, 11:18 PMMay 29, 11:17 PM

9318

OptionProbability

New

Territory Capture

Race

Hide and Seek

Object Capture

Line Drawing

Chase

31

21

14

11

8

8

6

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Aug 4, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.36%chance

7201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

124

Will the Supreme Court issue a stay on the "asylum turn-back" policy by March 31, 2026?

Mar 21, 11:47 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

22.6%chance

4110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

54

Has social media reduced the attention span of the average 20 something year old over the last 2 decades?

Jan 21, 4:15 PM

500

How often do you fall asleep listening to some content?

Jan 21, 5:04 PM

370

Are you pro-abortion or anti-abortion rights?

Jan 1, 3:52 PM

280

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