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Prediction markets for Seeker

Will Germany tighten its refugee policy before 2030?

Jul 11, 7:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

85.26%chance

524366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2099

649

Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 3:53 PMJan 28, 6:29 PM

18.73%chance

223586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

581

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Seventeen' take? (Read Description)

Dec 5, 3:17 AMFeb 28, 1:14 PM

121090

OptionProbability

Race

New

Territory Capture

Object Capture

Chase

Hide and Seek

Line Drawing

41

25

20

10

2

1

1

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Jan 5, 4:16 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

10.53%chance

25940

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

931

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

32.89%chance

6421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 4:00 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

79.84%chance

9421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

113

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Aug 4, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.36%chance

7201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

124

MoistCr1TiKaL announces new major business venture by March 31, 2026?

Oct 20, 1:29 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

24.6%chance

4175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

How will Australia's freedom index change in 2026?

May 26, 8:38 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

9148

OptionProbability

It drops below 95

It stays at 95

It rises above 95

It drops below 90

78

36

34

19

On average, are women worse drivers than men?

Jan 14, 11:22 AM

230

Do you care enough about CLIMATE CHANGE to change your actions? (personal poll)

Jan 21, 4:19 PM

910

Has social media reduced the attention span of the average 20 something year old over the last 2 decades?

Jan 21, 4:15 PM

500

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