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Prediction markets for Seeker

Will Germany tighten its refugee policy before 2030?

Jul 11, 7:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84.16%chance

534386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1988

669

Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 3:53 PMJan 28, 6:29 PM

18.73%chance

223586

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1025

581

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Eighteen' take? (Read Description)

Mar 11, 11:18 PMMay 29, 11:17 PM

221660

OptionProbability

Territory Capture

New

Chase

Object Capture

Race

Hide and Seek

Line Drawing

97

1

0

0

0

0

0

Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?

Jan 5, 4:16 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

10.75%chance

25943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

934

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

32.89%chance

6421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?

Jan 21, 4:00 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

79.84%chance

9421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

218

113

Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?

Aug 4, 7:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

80.36%chance

7201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

210

124

What format will 'Jet Lag: The Game - Season Nineteen' take? (Read Description)

May 7, 3:07 AMJun 7, 3:07 AM

00

OptionProbability

Chase

Object Capture

Race

Territory Capture

Hide and Seek

Line Drawing

New

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Profit-seekers, what motivates you to increase your profit?

Apr 4, 4:35 AM

170

Should two consenting adults have the legal right to challenge each other to a duel with no legal consequences?

Jan 14, 11:21 AM

230

Xbox v PlayStation

Jan 1, 3:58 PM

50

On average, are women worse drivers than men?

Jan 14, 11:22 AM

230

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