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Prediction markets for Seeker
Prediction markets for Seeker
Will Germany tighten its refugee policy before 2030?
Jul 11, 7:57 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
84.16%
chance
53
4386
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1988
669
Will Wikipedia endorse the lab-leak theory for origins of COVID-19 before 2030?
Jan 21, 3:53 PM
Jan 28, 6:29 PM
18.73%
chance
22
3586
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1025
581
Any US president (current or former) is assassinated before 2030?
Jan 5, 4:16 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
10.75%
chance
25
943
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1283
934
Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?
Jul 21, 9:57 AM
Aug 28, 10:59 PM
18.94%
chance
8
485
Option
Votes
YES
NO
207
48
Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?
Jan 21, 4:00 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
79.84%
chance
9
421
Option
Votes
NO
YES
218
113
Will any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Aug 4, 7:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
35.17%
chance
8
301
Option
Votes
YES
NO
224
50
Profit-seekers, what motivates you to increase your profit?
Apr 4, 4:35 AM
17
0
Are you pro-abortion or anti-abortion rights?
Jan 1, 3:52 PM
28
0
Do you think you're more intelligent than the average Manifold user?
Jan 21, 5:08 PM
39
0
Has social media reduced the attention span of the average 20 something year old over the last 2 decades?
Jan 21, 4:15 PM
50
0
On average, are women worse drivers than men?
Jan 14, 11:22 AM
23
0
Do you care enough about CLIMATE CHANGE to change your actions? (personal poll)
Jan 21, 4:19 PM
92
0
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