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Prediction markets for Sell

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

66.99%chance

8957065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143123

70539

Will Tesla become the top-selling car manufacturer in 2027?

Aug 19, 11:35 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

7.31%chance

13543125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5141

1325

We sell >2x the boosts now that we add 5k liquidity to the AMM?

Mar 10, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:02 PM

36%chance

9638477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4694

1462

Will Tesla sell >$1B of humanoid robots by 2030?

Oct 1, 2:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.06%chance

656801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

944

Will a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?

May 19, 6:45 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

30.83%chance

674479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1835

742

Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department

Nov 8, 12:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

31.84%chance

153913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1463

683

Will a European country ban selling meat by 2100?

Aug 14, 11:40 AMAug 14, 10:59 PM

71.47%chance

623413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1599

715

Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?

Mar 13, 6:36 PMApr 1, 11:59 PM

24.09%chance

331501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1564

867

Will Taylor Swift make the best selling album in the US in 2026?

Jan 17, 5:36 PMJan 18, 5:35 PM

44.7%chance

6703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

899

Will Buick sell 20k+ EVs in the US in 2030?

Oct 5, 10:04 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

49.55%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will Hybrid Air Vehicles sell >0 Airlander 10 before 2029?

Feb 24, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.22%chance

3102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

201

Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036?

Apr 15, 4:17 AMApr 15, 4:11 AM

50.12%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

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