OptionProbability
The Odyssey
Wild Horse Nine
The Black Ball
Dune: Part Three
The Debut
Project Hail Mary
Fjord
The Invite
Obsession
Club Kid
Behemoth
Digger
The Samurai and the Prisoner
Josephine
Cry to Heaven
Paper Tiger
Being Heumann
1949 / Fatherland
Jack of Spades
The Social Reckoning
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Sense and Sensibility
Minotaur
Disclosure Day
98
89
83
81
79
61
60
46
37
33
32
31
29
25
20
17
9
Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work
Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)
Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks
Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues
Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery
55
47
45