OptionProbability
The Odyssey
Dune: Part Three
Wild Horse Nine
Project Hail Mary
Digger
Fjord
Paper Tiger
The Black Ball
Josephine
Cry to Heaven
Minotaur
Jack of Spades
Club Kid
1949 / Fatherland
The Social Reckoning
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Behemoth
Being Heumann
Sense and Sensibility
Obsession
Disclosure Day
90
82
77
75
66
63
56
50
38
37
35
33
32
29
25
23
19
8
Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work
Dec '28: AI systems able to autonomously design their successors (RSI)
Nov '26: AI good enough at biology to both advance science and potentially proliferate bioweapon risks
Nov '27: Autonomous companies exist and generate $10m+ revenues
Apr '27: A team of humans collaborating with AI will make a Nobel-winning discovery
55
47
46
45
