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Prediction markets for SEO

Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?

Mar 13, 5:29 PMMar 14, 2:59 PM

47.44%chance

21250797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13499

3940

Will Artemis II launch before 2027?

Apr 13, 1:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

93.2%chance

4713817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3298

616

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?

Oct 31, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

29%chance

6812930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

936

Will Elon Musk have a child of given ethnicity?

Apr 17, 2:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

455569

OptionProbability

Jewish

Latino

Arab

Black

Native American

Maori

100

53

30

13

10

5

Will US life expectancy in 2075 be 100 or above?

Oct 31, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.88%chance

383564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

891

Will Microsoft power its data center with SMR(Small Modular Reactor) by 2030?

Sep 26, 6:44 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

36.36%chance

382620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

1115

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 85 or above?

Oct 31, 5:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.7%chance

401702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

951

Will US life expectancy in 2075 be 85 or above?

Oct 31, 5:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.86%chance

251278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

910

Will the US population be >500M by 2050?

Oct 30, 2:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.65%chance

15655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

932

In what year will Remote Labor Index automation rate reaches 80%?

Dec 12, 11:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4248

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2025

2029

Other

2030 or later

76

14

3

2

2

2

1

South Korea: Will Gadeok Island New Airport open before 2030?

Apr 23, 1:02 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

28.04%chance

6245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

886

Was Jesus real?

May 4, 12:40 PM

1180

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