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Prediction markets for Separate Rooms

Has Taj Quantum invented a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor?

Jul 30, 9:42 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.47%chance

13786084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6605

1742

Will Trump, Xi and Putin hold a three-way in-person meeting by November 22, 2026?

Oct 15, 6:23 PMNov 22, 11:59 PM

20.56%chance

12352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

86

How well can a superintelligence predict a coin flip?

Dec 10, 11:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6337

OptionProbability

Single person

Different people

21

4

Will a new non-AI technology with at least as much impact on society as the internet or TV did be developed before AGI?

Jan 7, 3:08 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22%chance

12179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

118

In Esurient, will Lyvina at some point crack open the world?

Feb 22, 2:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.13%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

89

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