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Prediction markets for Series 11

Relativity Space Fails by December 31, 2025

Nov 25, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.83%chance

41110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

500

Will 9 or More Series go to 7 Games Across the NBA, NHL, and MLB Playoffs in 2025?

Jan 24, 2:38 PMNov 10, 2:59 PM

50.07%chance

8667

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

999

Will a fully AI generated osu! beatmap make it to the ranked section by the end of 2025?

Sep 20, 6:06 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

39.5%chance

5371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

If North Korea tests a nuclear weapon, how many will they test?

Oct 17, 12:03 PMOct 31, 2:59 PM

7285

OptionProbability

Other

only 1

2

5

3

4

6

7

8

9

10

more than 10

43

22

9

8

4

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Will John Fetterman vote to confirm at least half of Trump's cabinet?

Feb 5, 6:41 AMNov 2, 3:59 AM

68.58%chance

10275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

148

68

[Wheel of Time] Which of the Forsaken will appear in the TV series?

Sep 20, 12:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5265

OptionProbability

Moghedien

Sammael

Graendal

Aginor

Asmodean

Balthamel

Be'lal

Demandred

Mesaana

Rahvin

Semirhage

63

17

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?

Mar 31, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.49%chance

9186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

646

509

By which year will Apple change its naming/release schedule for iPhones

Aug 24, 5:43 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4144

OptionProbability

By 2030 (iPhone 22)

By 2029 (iPhone 21)

By 2028 (iPhone 20)

By 2027 (iPhone 19)

By 2026 (iPhone 18)

No changes until after 2030

By 2025 (iPhone 17)

By 2024 (iPhone 16)

81

80

76

66

50

50

17

9

I loved station 11 so much. The series and podcast equally great. Anyone else? Is that Sci fi?

Nov 4, 12:34 PM

00

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