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Prediction markets for Service

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

44.2%chance

6912128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11266

8870

Will Brightline West open for service before 2028?

Jun 11, 11:34 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

2.46%chance

1310377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5418

106

Will Brightline West open for service before 2030?

Jun 18, 4:25 PMJan 1, 7:01 AM

21.16%chance

284350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

155

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

57.61%chance

552029

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

970

Will Brightline West open for service before 2031?

Aug 13, 7:37 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

33.05%chance

141244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

227

Will a thorium based nuclear reactor be in service for energy in the US before 2050?

Jun 25, 10:21 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

60.35%chance

151053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

811

Will there be internet service on the Moon at the end of 2040?

Mar 28, 4:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.14%chance

22708

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

788

Will Russia or ROC be allowed in the Olympics again before Nintendo ends online play and services for the Switch?

Jan 25, 3:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75%chance

15707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

969

Will 1% or more Americans engage in blood cleaning services that cost $1000 per year (inflation adjusted) by 2040

May 21, 9:21 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.52%chance

5560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1545

647

Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?

Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.01%chance

12514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

1078

In 2030, will we still believe economies should mature into becoming service-based? [vibes]

Feb 20, 11:07 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

66.8%chance

13252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

960

Amtrak's Borealis service between Chicago and St. Paul–Minneapolis adds another daily train before the end of 2030?

Jan 12, 2:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.3%chance

2123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

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