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Prediction markets for Service Companies

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.17%chance

5701074185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55330

1810

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.55%chance

10358928

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144964

69643

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.06%chance

3216664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1304

768

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.15%chance

8314198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6271

1868

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

125325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1818

107

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

152252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3627

2185

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 10, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.78%chance

231670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

987

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.13%chance

371404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

931

Who will have the most revenue in the USA before Jan 1st 2030

Sep 23, 10:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71182

OptionProbability

Uber

Tesla Cybercab

Waymo

Lyft

Other

57

22

8

6

6

Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.86%chance

17975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

938

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will there be a plumbing company that has fully automated services by 2080?

Jun 12, 4:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.17%chance

9227

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

67

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