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Prediction markets for Service Companies

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.76%chance

540866797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30427

3291

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

67.02%chance

9257160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143218

70492

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

2714421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

767

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4186

2254

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.68%chance

173564

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

926

Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 10, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

201485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

964

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.35%chance

211414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.13%chance

371404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

931

Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74%chance

14869

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

904

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will there be a plumbing company that has fully automated services by 2080?

Jun 12, 4:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.83%chance

554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

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