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Prediction markets for Service Companies

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.23%chance

408581388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14848

6744

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM

65.7%chance

7051445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139076

72591

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

1811438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.75%chance

516280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3348

2500

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

979

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.13%chance

371404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

931

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Will Dreamstar Lines begin revenue service in 2026?

Jun 7, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.37%chance

5715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

583

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

61.57%chance

10631

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

790

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will there be a plumbing company that has fully automated services by 2080?

Jun 12, 4:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.83%chance

554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

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