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Prediction markets for Service Tax

Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?

Oct 12, 12:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.84%chance

7945857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

56

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

81.31%chance

93929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1134

954

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Tax-free tipping results in >10% increase in real wages for service workers within 5 years of implementation?

Aug 30, 7:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

22.18%chance

71176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1873

534

Someone induces BlackPink to have babies to help South Korea's TFR by mid 2029

Nov 11, 9:30 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

22.03%chance

111012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1881

532

Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026

Jan 2, 7:45 AMJan 11, 7:59 AM

73.03%chance

9969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1645

608

Will a major city in Europe have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.34%chance

15561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

156

Will any city in the UK have a self-driving taxi service by the end of 2026?

Sep 2, 10:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.05%chance

20402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.94%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

158

Will we see the transit funding initiative on the ballot?

Jan 24, 5:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

85%chance

4152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

42

Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?

Jan 11, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.01%chance

453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

85

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

Jul 11, 4:43 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

63%chance

541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

100

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