Shanghai News

Which country will win IMO 2026?

Jul 24, 2:00 AMJul 20, 4:00 PM

8915943

OptionProbability

People's Republic of China

United States of America

Russian Federation

Republic of Korea

Other

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

356265

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Shengmin, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

Which cities will have Waymo One service by mid-2026?

Mar 13, 7:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

314975

OptionProbability

Palo Alto

Miami

Houston

Dallas

Nashville

Berkeley

Sausalito

San Diego

Emeryville, California

Las Vegas

Seattle

Washington, D.C.

Chicago

New York City

Tokyo, Japan

Delhi, India

Shanghai, China

São Paulo, Brazil

Detroit

Mexico City, Mexico

Boston

London

100

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

Aug 11, 5:29 PMAug 11, 8:59 PM

5.61%chance

13822

OptionVotes

YES

1289

949

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

1269

925

What will be the largest city in the world in 2050?

Jun 20, 5:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5209

OptionProbability

Other

Delhi, India

Dhaka, Bangladesh

Tokyo, Japan

Kinshasa, DRC

Kolkata, India

Karachi, Pakistan

Lagos, Nigeria

Mumbai, India

Shanghai, PRC

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 18 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Apr 7, 2:59 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

72.14%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

161

Will SSE composite index double till 2035? (Shanghai stock market)

Nov 5, 8:10 PMNov 10, 10:59 PM

80%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?

Jul 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.53%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

Will China April 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Apr 8, 2:17 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

40.5%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

121

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Apr 7, 2:18 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Shanghai and Sao Paolo exist before the end of 2030?

Nov 4, 3:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.75%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Shanghai News

Prediction markets for Shanghai

Prediction markets for Shanghai

Prediction markets for Shanghai

Which country will win IMO 2026?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Which cities will have Waymo One service by mid-2026?

Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

What will be the largest city in the world in 2050?

Will China ex-works zirconium sponge spot price exceed 18 USD/kg on June 30, 2027?

Will SSE composite index double till 2035? (Shanghai stock market)

Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?

Will China April 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?

Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 1500 USD/t on December 31, 2026?

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Shanghai and Sao Paolo exist before the end of 2030?

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