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Top stories

Google Debuts Gemini 2.5 Flash Image, 171-Point Lead on Editing Arena

Google Debuts Gemini 2.5 Flash Image, 171-Point Lead on Editing Arena

Authors

72

12 hours ago

Prediction markets for Shares

EIA projection for US BEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

8127237

Will TSLA drop below $200 a share in 2025?

Feb 21, 9:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

17.9%chance

25284532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2141

467

EIA projection for U.S. HEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:10 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

261750

OptionProbability

10 - 11.79 %

11.8 - 13.74 %

8 - 9.99 %

13.75 - 16 %

5 - 7.99 %

Other

29

29

13

13

8

7

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6.05%chance

2326283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28741

7752

EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18950

OptionProbability

75.8 - 77.79 %

74 - 75.79 %

71 - 73.99 %

77.8 - 79.99 %

80 - 82.99 %

Other

31

29

15

14

5

5

Fake meat will have 10% or more of the meat market share in the US by 2035

Jan 16, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.43%chance

688269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1260

873

EIA projection for U.S. PHEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:41 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

14700

OptionProbability

2.00 - 2.49%

1.5 - 1.99%

0 - 1.49%

2.5 - 3.19%

3.2 - 100%

39

24

15

15

7

Will a non-Windows, non-Unix-like operating system capture greater than 3% market share by 2033?

Sep 1, 6:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.93%chance

723463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1251

1187

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Oct 19, 1:07 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

36.86%chance

473297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

1123

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Nov 27, 12:11 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

273075

OptionProbability

2100

2075

2050

2040

2030

2025

2024

2023

39

33

20

11

8

7

6

4

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:50 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

66.3%chance

72461

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4576

2499

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
AI Modeling
AI Products
AI
Google Debuts Gemini 2.5 Flash Image, 171-Point Lead on Editing Arena
Authors
72
12 hours ago

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